Thursday, September 15, 2011

Di Di Mau!! Your Week 2 Gambling Fix!!

My goal here would be 17 straight Simpsons gambling pictures. 2 for 2 so far!


Some real interesting lines this week. Did you ever think you'd see a day when the once 0-16 Lions would be favored by 8.5 points? What about the Steelers, who got pasted last week, giving 14.5 points against the Seahawks? How about the Bears, who thumped the Falcons last week, getting 7 points against the Saints? Is the Superdome really that hostile?? I'm staying away from all these games, though. Here's the three I'm putting my hard earned Monopoly money on.

Dallas (-3, -115) over SAN FRANCISCO: I know it sounds crazy, but if the Cowboys start 0-2, Jason Garrett's gotta be on the hot seat, right? Jerry might be especially trigger happy with one of the hottest coaching names in the NFL, Rob Ryan, waiting in the wings on the sidelines. I think this is an early must-win for the Cowboys, and I don't think the Niners are all that good. If the Cowboys kick to Ted Ginn, they deserve to lose.

San Diego (+7, -110) over NEW ENGLAND: Patriots, as great as they looked, 1) were playing the Dolphins, 2) have a short week after the Monday Night game, 3) lost one of their best offensive linemen, Dan Koppen to a broken ankle. Koppen has only missed one game in the last five years, and is one of the guys who keeps Brady's pants clean every weekend. Could be a big factor. I like San Diego outright in this one, but wouldn't be confident enough to bet the moneyline, which hasn't been released on Bodog yet anyway.

Tampa Bay (+3, -120) over MINNESOTA: I'm going to be stubborn on the Bucs. I have a hard time believing that Donovan McNabb, who failed to throw for more than 40 yards last week, can duplicate the success that Matthew Stafford had against the Buccaneers D. Aqib Talib and Ronde Barber will keep the clamps tight on McNabb's downfield weapons. The biggest question mark for me is if the Bucs offense can put points on the board, but without the Williams Wall that Minnesota is so used to relying on, the Bucs should be able to run the ball right down the Vikings throat.
Novice gambling tip: The -120 here means a lot of people are betting the Bucs on this particular line. I am lowering my potential winnings for what seems like a surer thing. I'm betting with the majority of people against Vegas on this one, and the majority's record versus Vegas is, as you can guess, not very good.

WEEK 1: 1-1-1
SEASON: 1-1-1
MONEY IN: $150
CASHED OUT: $145.45 (Won $95.45 on my $50 Eagles bet, Got my $50 back on the Cardinals push)
NET: Down $4.55 on the season.

1 comment:

Psulion said...

I think you go 2-1 or 1-2. I think SD gets smoked.